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METRO VANCOUVER HOUSING MARKET HIGHLIGHTS | MARCH 2024

2024-March-stats-market-graphic-770

Increased Seller Activity Is Giving Buyers More Choice This Spring

Source: GVR

Picture source: GVR

The number of Metro Vancouver1 homes listed for sale on the MLS® rose nearly 23 per cent year-over-year, providing more opportunity for buyers looking for a home this spring.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR)2 reports that residential sales3 in the region totalled 2,415 in March 2024, a 4.7 per cent decrease from the 2,535 sales recorded in March 2023. This was 31.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (3,512).

“If you’re finding the weather a little chillier than last spring, you may find some comfort in knowing that the market isn’t quite as hot as it was last spring either, particularly if you’re a buyer. Despite the welcome increase in inventory, the overall market balance continues inching deeper into sellers’ market territory, which suggests demand remains strong for well-priced and well-located properties.”

Andrew Lis, GVR director of economics and data analytics

There were 5,002 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in March 2024. This represents a 15.9 per cent increase compared to the 4,317 properties listed in March 2023. This was 9.5 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (5,524).

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 10,552, a 22.5 per cent increase compared to March 2023 (8,617). This is 6.3 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (9,923).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for March 2024 is 23.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 18.2 per cent for detached homes, 31.3 per cent for attached, and 25.8 per cent for apartments.

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

Housing market - Sales-to-active listings ratio - March 2024
Picture source: GVR

“Even though the market isn’t quite as hot as it was last year, we’re still seeing modest month-over-month price gains of one to two per cent happening at the aggregate level, which is an interesting dynamic given that borrowing costs remain elevated,”

Lis said.

“With the latest inflation numbers trending in the right direction, it remains likely that we’ll see at least one or two modest cuts to the Bank of Canada’s policy rate in 2024, but even if these cuts come, they may not provide the boost to affordability many had been hoping for. As a result, we expect constrained borrowing power to remain a challenging headwind as we move into the summer months.”

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,196,800. This represents a 4.5 per cent increase over March 2023 and a 1.1 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Sales of detached homes in March 2024 reached 694, a 5.4 per cent decrease from the 734 detached sales recorded in March 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,007,900. This represents a 7.4 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 1.8 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,207 in March 2024, a 7.9 per cent decrease compared to the 1,311 sales in March 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $777,500. This represents a 5.7 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

Attached home sales in March 2024 totalled 495, a 6.2 per cent increase compared to the 466 sales in March 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,112,800. This represents a 5 per cent increase from March 2023 and a 1.7 per cent increase compared to February 2024.

1 Areas covered by Greater Vancouver REALTORS® include: Bowen Island, Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.

 On February 12, 2024, The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver changed its organizational name to the Greater Vancouver REALTORS®.

3  GVR is now including multifamily and land sales and listings in this monthly report. Previously, we only included detached, attached, and apartment sales, and these additional categories, which typically account for roughly one to two per cent of total MLS® activity per month, are being included for completeness in our reporting.

CLICK HERE – Full GVR March 2024 Housing Market Update

Vancouver BC – April 3, 2024

Have a look at the GVR March 2024 Market Update Insights!
  • DOWNLOAD the GVR March 2024 Housing Market Update CLICK HERE
  • See the Monthly Market Stats CLICK HERE
  • For more market information from the Greater Vancouver REALTORS® CLICK HERE
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2024 Sees Surging Activity in Lower Mainland Presale Market

presale market

The active presale market in Metro Vancouver and the Fraser Valley is boosting optimism among real estate buyers.

Source: MLA Canada, Western Investor

Presale launches in Metro Vancouver and the Fraser Valley have seen consecutive increases for three months in a row.

MLA Canada reported that in January, three presale projects were launched, followed by six more in February, totaling 1,024 units. The firm anticipates the introduction of 14 projects this month, with an estimated total of 2,150 units, bringing the total number of projects since the beginning of 2024 to 23.

presale market MLA Canada

Source: MLA Canada

 

Garde MacDonald, Director of Advisory at MLA Canada, highlighted the significance of spring for selling projects, attributing it to better weather and a more positive outlook compared to the previous year’s market conditions.

 

Between January and March 2023, a total of ten projects were launched, comprising approximately 1,700 units. MacDonald noted that the comparison of launch activities in 2024 and 2023 signals a notable increase in optimism.

 

In February, 42% of the 590 presale units available in Metro Vancouver and the Fraser Valley were sold. MacDonald expects this percentage to decrease by five to ten points in March due to the increased number of units entering the market.

 

While interest rates significantly influence potential homebuyers, presale buyers are slightly less sensitive, as they don’t need to secure a mortgage until the project is completed.

 

Regarding pricing, MacDonald mentioned ongoing recalibration in the presale market, driven by factors such as location, building type, and the number of bedrooms. He described the market as being in a phase of “price discovery,” lacking sufficient transactions for confident valuation.

 

Download the full MLA Canada report: CLICK HERE.

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To view Geoff Jarman’s Listings CLICK HERE
Tags: presale market, presale market MLA